The modern ledger: the federal count, its figure, and the town's uncounted share

2024–2025 data · SOUTH BEND–MISHAWAKA METRO (BOUNDARY), OSCEOLA'S SHARE STATED AS UNCOUNTED

The federal series for this ground is the International Trade Administration's U.S. Metropolitan Area Exports series (goods exports by metropolitan statistical area, Origin-of-Movement ZIP-code methodology, annual from 2005) for the South Bend–Mishawaka, IN–MI MSA — St. Joseph County, Indiana, plus Cass County, Michigan. The ITA database is the named instrument and its metro fact sheets are its published form; the database itself is an interactive tool that did not yield a verified single-year metro figure to this seat, and no ITA metro dollar figure is printed from an unverified extract. The one current metro trade figure reached from a sourced regional account is printed with its basis named, as the row's discipline requires: the Anderson Economic Group / Lightcast market snapshot for the South Bend–Mishawaka MSA (data as of December 2025) gives the metro's Exports at $17.5 billion against Gross Regional Product of $19.3 billion and Imports of $21.0 billion — a modelled regional-trade estimate on Lightcast data, not the ITA/Census goods count, and printed as exactly that, never as the federal figure. The two series measure different things and are not merged.

The town's share, stated as uncounted where it is: neither series counts Osceola. The ITA metro count is built from exporter ZIP codes at MSA/county scale and publishes no town figure for a 2,590-person town with no seated exporter (art-60-2); the Lightcast estimate is metro-wide. Osceola's export share is therefore stated, in the row's own words, as uncounted — present, if at all, only inside its residents' commuting into the Mishawaka and South Bend plants whose shipments the metro count does capture. Settler for the federal figure at print strength: the ITA Metropolitan Area Exports database extract for the South Bend–Mishawaka MSA, latest year (goods exports, total and by destination), pulled directly from trade.gov.

Sources: International Trade Administration, U.S. Metropolitan Area Exports database and OM-ZIP methodology (trade.gov); Anderson Economic Group / Lightcast, South Bend–Mishawaka Market Snapshot 2025 (data Dec. 2025: Exports $17.5B; GRP $19.3B; Imports $21.0B; MSA = St. Joseph Co., IN + Cass Co., MI).