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Both halves of the error class were run, and both return the same shape of answer: the artifact the error would live in does not exist on this ground. The marker half first. The template is a state historical marker whose bronze text gets its fact wrong. The Indiana Historical Bureau's marker record was searched for Osceola and for Penn Township: no state historical marker stands in this town or township in the record reached, so there is no bronze text here to test, and the error, if the town ever acquires a marker, belongs to a later history. The river half is a numbers test, and the numbers were chased through three records. The template — a crest record tied at one figure, twice, then broken — is a gauged river's record. Baugo Creek is not a gauged river: the Indiana Department of Natural Resources' stream-discharge publications list Baugo Creek among the ungauged streams; the banked land record states that no Baugo Creek flood number exists in the United States Geological Survey's record for station 04101080; and the Federal Emergency Management Agency's Flood Insurance Study for St. Joseph County (study 18141CV000C, preliminary issue January 30, 2026) carries Baugo Creek by regression equations and redelineation from upstream of Lincolnway East, with a flood profile drawn but no crest series behind it — an insurance hydrology built from equations precisely because there is no gauge record to build it from. A creek without a gauge cannot tie a crest record, and it cannot break one. The strangest true number in the creek's file is an absence, and it is printed as one.
Sources: Indiana Historical Bureau, state historical markers by county (St. Joseph County list searched for Osceola / Penn Township — none found); Indiana DNR coordinated-discharge publications (Baugo Creek listed as an ungauged stream); banked The Land record edge (no flood number in the USGS record for station 04101080), per the audit's verbatim account; FEMA Flood Insurance Study 18141CV000C, St. Joseph County (Baugo Creek analysis by regression equations, redelineated January 7, 2018 reach; flood profile, Baugo Creek panel 01P). Rights basis: public register and study facts; no image pulled.