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AS OF 10 NOVEMBER 2026
The position: The population record prints the Census Bureau's Vintage 2025 estimates — the city at 103,201 and St. The banked figures are verified here against the Bureau's own published dataset files, not a summary of them. In the Bureau's subcounty dataset for Indiana (file sub-est2025_18.csv), the line for South Bend city reads: estimates base 103,436; estimate for 1 July 2024, 103,411; estimate for 1 July 2025, 103,201 — the banked figure, exact. In the county dataset (co-est2025-alldata.csv), St. Joseph County reads: estimates base 272,910; 1 July 2024, 272,936; 1 July 2025, 272,861 — likewise exact. The metropolitan figure the Story of South Bend section prints is the 2020 census count for the South Bend–Mishawaka, IN–MI metropolitan area, 324,501; the same vintage's metro dataset carries the area at 324,469 on 1 July 2024 and 324,538 on 1 July 2025, which is the metro's current dated figure for the next refresh of the Story of South Bend section's closing entry.
Two mechanics, stated so they are never mistaken for errors: First, revision. The population record also prints a Vintage 2024 figure — the city's 1 July 2024 estimate as 103,713, labeled an estimate. Vintage 2025 re-estimated that same date at 103,411. Both print correctly under their own vintage labels: an estimates series restates its own past with each release, and the earlier release's figure is not an error but a superseded reading, which is why the population record's discipline of naming the vintage beside the figure matters. Assembly should carry the pair exactly so. Second, the base. The estimates base is not the census count: the Bureau builds it from the count with geographic and group-quarters updates, which is why the city's base reads 103,436 against a 2020 count of 103,453, and the county's 272,910 against its count of 272,912. The differences are the Bureau's construction, printed here so no future pass "corrects" one figure to the other.
The survey side:Nothing in the estimates position has moved since the population record banked: the city's long plateau after the 1960 peak — 103,453 counted in 2020, an estimated 103,201 in mid-2025 — is still the latest word of the record, and the re-dating item the record owed is discharged by this verification.
Sources:
- U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2025 datasets, read first-hand from the Bureau's published files: sub-est2025_18.csv (Indiana incorporated places), co-est2025-alldata.csv (counties), cbsa-est2025-alldata.csv (metropolitan areas) — South Bend city, St. Joseph County, and CBSA 43780 (South Bend–Mishawaka, IN–MI) lines as quoted.
- Census Bureau QuickFacts, as cited in the population record — the banked route to the same vintage, confirmed consistent with the dataset files.